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Red70
29326.7
48616.1
249525.0
Blue85
2521.6
911617.8
568423.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776740601001207085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +3
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
48Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points2
70Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#7
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 3.3
5684
#10
23.40.5
22.623.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Second
2495
#14
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
red by 3.4
25
#15
21.60.5
20.821.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
486
#23
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 1.7
9116
#21
17.80.5
17.017.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2