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Red84
568423.4
911617.8
2521.6
Blue46
334015.6
219113.5
566617.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801001208446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
38Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points0
84Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
23.40.3
22.422.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 5.6
5666
#11
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
25
#15
21.60.3
20.520.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 5.9
15.60.0
15.715.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
Third
9116
#21
17.80.3
16.817.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
red by 4.3
2191
#24
13.50.0
13.613.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7