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Red148
259052.2
562411.6
192357.1
Blue62
29326.7
48616.1
249525.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1387005010015020014862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
91Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points0
148Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.6
55.856.4
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 30.4
293
#7
26.70.1
26.926.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
Second
52.20.6
51.051.5
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
red by 27.3
2495
#14
25.00.1
25.125.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Third
5624
#17
11.60.6
10.310.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 4.5
486
#23
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9