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Red41
71427.6
689710.6
Blue100
811724.8
80756.9
31654.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50106015020041100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +64
6Coral scored#20
21Coral points73
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
25Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
6Foul points0
41Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#7
27.61.3
28.327.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.7
End1.9
blue by 27.3
316
#3
54.90.8
54.555.2
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
Second
6897
#18
10.61.3
14.112.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
blue by 14.2
24.80.8
23.724.5
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Third
7.11.3
12.511.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 0.2
8075
#21
6.90.8
10.110.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed