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Red15
255915.4
87714.0
858819.7
Blue84
691143.5
314251.9
162615.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311530501002002501584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+71
Endgame+75
Fouls+69
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +71
1Coral scored#12
4Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
0Processor points12
0Net points20
0Algae points32
4Total teleop75
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
6Foul points0
15Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8588
#20
19.72.3
23.821.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
blue by 32.2
51.92.7
57.254.5
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
2559
#13
15.42.3
15.012.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
blue by 28.1
6911
#16
43.52.7
48.645.9
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
Third
8771
#22
4.02.3
4.11.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 11.1
1626
#14
15.22.7
18.716.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed