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Red64
436122.9
704523.9
863018.3
Blue77
758728.3
127932.4
30327.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751000501502006477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
44Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
64Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.5
28.327.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
blue by 8.5
1279
#10
32.40.8
30.429.6
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Second
4361
#19
22.90.5
21.821.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 5.4
7587
#15
28.30.8
27.326.6
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
Third
8630
#23
18.30.5
21.821.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
303
#5
27.40.8
30.729.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed