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Red118
162960.3
858819.7
691143.5
Blue125
167653.0
71427.6
314251.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139148050100200250300118125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
91Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
118Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.9
58.457.6
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
red by 7.3
53.01.2
55.454.2
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
6911
#16
43.50.9
45.945.1
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
blue by 8.5
51.91.2
54.553.3
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Third
8588
#20
19.70.9
21.520.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
blue by 7.8
714
#7
27.61.2
27.025.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned