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Red9
87714.0
162615.2
87146.6
Blue122
31654.9
255915.4
36924.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191120501001502009122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+89
Endgame+107
Fouls+113
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +72
0Coral scored#12
0Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
0Total teleop72
Reef
0L4#7
0L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
0Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +113
0Foul points6
9Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#14
15.21.2
16.014.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 39.7
316
#3
54.91.8
55.257.1
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
Second
8714
#24
6.61.2
9.07.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 17.3
369
#11
24.01.8
20.822.6
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End1.7
Third
8771
#22
4.01.2
1.90.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 11.3
2559
#13
15.41.8
12.814.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned