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Red45
55540.4
758728.3
Blue74
80756.9
127932.4
704523.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88670501001504574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
32Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
45Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#17
40.42.5
46.143.6
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
red by 8.0
1279
#10
32.40.5
29.630.2
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Second
7587
#15
28.32.5
26.624.1
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
red by 4.4
23.90.5
27.828.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
7.12.5
9.26.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 0.2
8075
#21
6.90.5
8.49.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed