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Red102
314251.9
858819.7
811724.8
Blue50
689710.6
30327.4
436122.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176105010015020010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
73Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
102Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.4
53.353.6
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 24.5
303
#5
27.40.8
29.929.2
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Second
24.80.4
22.522.9
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
red by 1.9
4361
#19
22.90.8
21.320.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
8588
#20
19.70.4
20.721.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
red by 9.1
6897
#18
10.60.8
10.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed