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Red23
858819.7
80756.9
Blue107
314251.9
30327.4
704523.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413405010015020023107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+62
Endgame+72
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +58
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
4Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points12
23Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8588
#20
19.70.9
21.020.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
blue by 32.2
51.91.1
53.652.6
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
7.10.9
6.75.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 20.4
303
#5
27.41.1
29.228.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
8075
#21
6.90.9
9.08.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 17.0
23.91.1
28.327.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned