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Red115
436122.9
55540.4
162960.3
Blue137
127932.4
31654.9
691143.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314550100200115137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +37
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
64Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#5
2L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points0
115Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.6
58.157.5
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
red by 5.4
316
#3
54.90.4
57.658.0
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
Second
555
#17
40.40.6
43.643.0
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
blue by 3.1
6911
#16
43.50.4
43.343.7
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
Third
4361
#19
22.90.6
20.519.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 9.5
1279
#10
32.40.4
30.230.6
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned