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Red70
162615.2
167653.0
36924.0
Blue33
87146.6
689710.6
255915.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114240501001502007033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+45Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +35
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
51Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
70Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.6
52.550.8
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 37.7
2559
#13
15.40.2
14.314.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Second
369
#11
24.01.6
22.520.8
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End1.7
red by 13.4
6897
#18
10.60.2
9.59.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Third
1626
#14
15.21.6
14.612.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 8.5
8714
#24
6.60.2
6.05.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned