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Red70
811724.8
758728.3
863018.3
Blue111
71427.6
901555.6
87714.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698205010015020070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points0
70Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7587
#15
28.30.3
24.123.8
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
blue by 27.3
55.62.4
49.651.9
Auto14.0
Teleop36.1
End5.5
Second
24.80.3
22.922.6
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
blue by 2.7
714
#7
27.62.4
25.527.9
Auto8.9
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
8630
#23
18.30.3
21.220.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End0.5
red by 14.3
8771
#22
4.02.4
0.62.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned