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Red105
80756.9
162960.3
314251.9
Blue92
55540.4
31654.9
704523.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129138608010012016018020010592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
71Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
105Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.31.0
57.556.5
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
red by 5.4
316
#3
54.92.4
58.055.5
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
Second
51.91.0
52.651.6
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 11.5
555
#17
40.42.4
43.040.6
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
Third
8075
#21
6.91.0
8.17.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 17.0
23.92.4
27.324.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned