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Red44
689710.6
863018.3
127932.4
Blue103
30327.4
167653.0
87714.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5996015020044103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points20
44Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#10
32.41.1
30.629.5
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
blue by 20.6
53.00.1
50.850.9
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
8630
#23
18.31.1
20.919.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
303
#5
27.40.1
28.128.2
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
6897
#18
10.61.1
9.38.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
red by 6.6
8771
#22
4.00.1
2.93.0
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed