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Red87
314251.9
31654.9
Blue61
704523.9
691143.5
255915.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132880501001502008761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
72Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points2
87Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#3
54.91.9
55.553.7
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
red by 11.4
6911
#16
43.51.9
45.944.1
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
Second
51.91.9
51.649.7
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 28.0
23.91.9
24.823.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
7.11.9
8.06.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 8.3
2559
#13
15.41.9
16.314.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed