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Red108
36924.0
436122.9
758728.3
Blue71
55540.4
71427.6
858819.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649905015020010871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#9
59Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
87Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points0
108Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7587
#15
28.32.2
25.227.4
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
blue by 12.1
555
#17
40.41.2
40.639.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
Second
369
#11
24.02.2
21.924.1
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End1.7
blue by 3.6
714
#7
27.61.2
28.927.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
4361
#19
22.92.2
19.822.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 3.2
8588
#20
19.71.2
20.118.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed