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Red150
901555.6
167653.0
689710.6
Blue130
87714.0
127932.4
162960.3
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12895050150200150130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#22
57Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
81Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
150Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.1
53.354.4
Auto14.0
Teleop36.1
End5.5
blue by 4.7
60.31.6
56.558.1
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
Second
53.01.1
50.952.0
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 20.6
1279
#10
32.41.6
29.531.1
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Third
6897
#18
10.61.1
8.29.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
red by 6.6
8771
#22
4.01.6
3.04.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed