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Red18
863018.3
87146.6
80756.9
Blue78
162615.2
811724.8
30327.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317802040601001201401601878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
1Coral scored#9
2Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
2Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points14
18Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8630
#23
18.31.4
19.818.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
303
#5
27.40.1
28.228.0
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Second
8075
#21
6.91.4
7.15.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 17.9
24.80.1
23.623.5
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Third
8714
#24
6.61.4
5.84.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 8.5
1626
#14
15.20.1
14.314.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed