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Red78
689710.6
36924.0
691143.5
Blue62
758728.3
80756.9
71427.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106760501502002507862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
61Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
12Foul points0
78Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#16
43.52.0
53.151.1
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
red by 15.1
7587
#15
28.30.8
31.831.0
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
Second
369
#11
24.02.0
24.122.1
Auto2.5
Teleop19.7
End1.7
blue by 3.6
714
#7
27.60.8
28.627.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
6897
#18
10.62.0
18.716.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
red by 3.7
8075
#21
6.90.8
13.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed