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Red95
901555.6
255915.4
30327.4
Blue113
167653.0
811724.8
55540.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10915805020025030095113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
68Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
95Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.1
52.851.6
Auto14.0
Teleop36.1
End5.5
red by 2.6
53.02.6
59.857.2
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
303
#5
27.41.1
31.930.8
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
blue by 13.0
555
#17
40.42.6
51.348.7
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
Third
2559
#13
15.41.1
16.215.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
blue by 9.5
24.82.6
26.323.7
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed