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Red63
691143.5
30327.4
87714.0
Blue73
127932.4
811724.8
689710.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84650501001506373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
29Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +10
20Foul points2
63Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#16
43.50.7
44.143.3
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
red by 11.0
1279
#10
32.40.2
31.131.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Second
303
#5
27.40.7
28.027.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
red by 2.6
24.80.2
23.523.7
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Third
8771
#22
4.00.7
4.63.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 6.6
6897
#18
10.60.2
9.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7