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Red118
80756.9
31654.9
901555.6
Blue75
436122.9
704523.9
858819.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13458010015020011875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
55Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points6
118Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.2
54.454.2
Auto14.0
Teleop36.1
End5.5
red by 31.7
23.90.1
23.023.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
316
#3
54.90.2
53.753.5
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
red by 32.0
4361
#19
22.90.1
22.022.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
8075
#21
6.90.2
5.75.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 12.8
8588
#20
19.70.1
18.818.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9