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Red93
127932.4
811724.8
689710.6
Blue91
436122.9
704523.9
858819.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72703040506080901009391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
78Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points12
93Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#10
32.40.6
31.932.5
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
red by 8.5
23.90.3
23.623.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
24.80.6
24.324.9
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
red by 1.9
4361
#19
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
6897
#18
10.60.6
10.110.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
blue by 9.1
8588
#20
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9