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Red137
167653.0
55540.4
162615.2
Blue75
758728.3
255915.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13342010015020013775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+40Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
75Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points6
137Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
53.153.3
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 24.7
7587
#15
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
Second
555
#17
40.40.2
40.540.7
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
red by 25.0
2559
#13
15.40.2
15.115.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
Third
1626
#14
15.20.2
15.215.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 8.1
7.10.2
6.87.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4