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Red157
589574.5
245817.1
7547.3
Blue116
363740.1
219121.1
29335.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559550200157116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+51Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
10Coral scored#4
51Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
90Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
157Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.50.4
74.174.5
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 34.4
40.10.5
39.239.7
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
75
#2
47.30.4
46.847.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 12.0
293
#5
35.20.5
34.434.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
2458
#19
17.10.4
16.717.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 3.9
2191
#32
21.10.5
20.220.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1