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Red153
589574.5
245817.1
7547.3
Blue117
363740.1
219121.1
29335.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1569650200153117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points49
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
104Total teleop61
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +36
8Foul points2
153Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 34.4
40.10.4
39.740.1
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
75
#2
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 12.0
293
#5
35.20.4
34.935.2
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
2458
#19
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 3.9
2191
#32
21.10.4
20.721.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1