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Red38
694511.6
2529.5
1023213.4
Blue73
10229.6
4121.4
475018.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563020801001201403873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+35
Endgame+33
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
28Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points2
38Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#12
29.50.5
21.320.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
blue by 0.1
102
#9
29.60.8
24.525.2
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Second
13.40.5
16.716.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
blue by 8.0
41
#15
21.40.8
15.516.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
Third
6945
#28
11.60.5
6.86.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 6.7
4750
#21
18.20.8
19.420.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed