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Red70
599238.6
7547.3
549017.0
Blue65
29335.2
807513.4
457319.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92652040801001201401607065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
46Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
70Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
47.31.0
38.737.7
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 12.0
293
#5
35.20.1
27.127.1
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Second
38.61.0
28.227.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 19.0
4573
#18
19.60.1
19.119.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
Third
5490
#16
17.01.0
12.511.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 3.6
8075
#29
13.40.1
15.015.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed