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Qual 102025 FMA District Montgomery Event
Red75
94398.3
162624.4
813020.3
Blue77
140341.5
531013.3
245817.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4275020601001201407577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
38Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
18Foul points6
75Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#30
24.41.3
18.5→19.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
blue by 17.1
1403
#4
41.50.7
27.3→28.1
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
Second
8130
#11
20.31.3
15.3→16.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 3.2
2458
#19
17.10.7
20.5→21.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
9439
#20
8.31.3
3.3→4.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 5.0
5310
#23
13.30.7
12.1→12.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed