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Red46
942420.6
694511.6
475018.2
Blue109
363740.1
436120.1
858827.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509002040608010012014016046109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +34
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
31Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
46Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9424
#17
20.60.2
21.821.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
blue by 19.5
40.12.3
32.534.8
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
4750
#21
18.20.2
19.519.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 8.8
27.02.3
23.025.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Third
6945
#28
11.60.2
6.96.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 8.5
4361
#13
20.12.3
19.321.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned