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Red21
711021.1
54388.2
807513.4
Blue123
29335.2
589574.5
858827.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813905010015020025021123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+98
Endgame+108
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +78
1Coral scored#15
5Coral points53
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#3
0Processor points18
0Net points12
0Algae points30
5Total teleop83
Reef
1L4#7
0L3#4
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
1Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
6Foul points0
21Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7110
#25
21.12.0
18.716.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
blue by 53.4
74.50.5
63.463.9
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
Second
8075
#29
13.42.0
15.113.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 21.8
293
#5
35.20.5
27.127.6
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
5438
#22
8.22.0
10.78.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 18.8
27.00.5
25.325.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned