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Red106
42822.8
436120.1
7547.3
Blue78
363740.1
162624.4
531013.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9779406012014016018010678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
72Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#2
7L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
106Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
47.30.8
37.738.5
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 7.2
40.10.6
34.834.2
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
428
#10
22.80.8
20.321.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
blue by 1.6
1626
#30
24.40.6
19.819.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Third
4361
#13
20.10.8
21.622.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
red by 6.8
5310
#23
13.30.6
12.812.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned