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Red81
599238.6
813020.3
573213.8
Blue38
601612.5
94398.3
689718.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67300204060801001201408138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+43Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
45Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
20Foul points0
81Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.2
27.227.4
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 19.9
6897
#26
18.70.4
15.515.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
Second
8130
#11
20.30.2
16.616.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 7.8
6016
#24
12.50.4
12.312.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Third
5732
#27
13.80.2
14.614.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 5.5
9439
#20
8.30.4
4.65.0
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed