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Red73
54388.2
219121.1
10229.6
Blue34
257719.4
711021.1
694511.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533902060801001207334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+37Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
59Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
73Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#9
29.61.4
25.226.6
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 8.4
7110
#25
21.10.3
16.716.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
Second
2191
#32
21.11.4
12.313.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 1.7
2577
#14
19.40.3
15.915.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Third
5438
#22
8.21.4
8.810.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 3.4
6945
#28
11.60.3
6.36.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed