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Red55
858827.0
4121.4
531013.3
Blue49
573213.8
363740.1
94398.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5657203040507080905549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
41Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
55Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.1
25.825.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
blue by 13.0
40.10.3
34.233.9
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
41
#15
21.40.1
16.216.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
red by 7.6
5732
#27
13.80.3
14.814.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
5310
#23
13.30.1
12.212.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 5.0
9439
#20
8.30.3
5.04.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed