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Red106
29335.2
162624.4
2529.5
Blue152
457319.6
689718.7
589574.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311350100150200106152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+44
Endgame+52
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
71Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
6Foul points0
106Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
35.21.8
27.629.4
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
blue by 39.3
74.53.1
63.967.0
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
Second
25
#12
29.51.8
20.922.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
red by 9.9
4573
#18
19.63.1
19.222.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
Third
1626
#30
24.41.8
19.221.0
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
red by 5.7
6897
#26
18.73.1
15.819.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned