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Red54
689718.7
29335.2
436120.1
Blue52
42822.8
813020.3
54388.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855201001505452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
54Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
35.21.1
29.428.3
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 12.5
428
#10
22.80.2
20.921.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Second
4361
#13
20.11.1
21.820.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
blue by 0.2
8130
#11
20.30.2
17.417.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
6897
#26
18.71.1
19.017.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
red by 10.5
5438
#22
8.20.2
10.210.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed