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Red108
589574.5
363740.1
475018.2
Blue71
599238.6
601612.5
1023213.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13752010015020025010871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
74Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
108Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.50.8
67.066.2
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 35.9
38.61.0
26.927.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
Second
40.10.8
33.933.1
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 26.7
13.41.0
16.117.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
4750
#21
18.20.8
19.418.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 5.7
6016
#24
12.51.0
13.214.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed