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Red88
162624.4
858827.0
10229.6
Blue94
4121.4
257719.4
7547.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8483607080901001108894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
79Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
88Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#9
29.60.8
26.627.5
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 17.7
75
#2
47.31.2
41.742.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
Second
27.00.8
25.125.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
red by 5.6
41
#15
21.41.2
16.317.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
Third
1626
#30
24.40.8
21.021.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
red by 5.0
2577
#14
19.41.2
15.616.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed