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Red82
694511.6
94398.3
140341.5
Blue72
42822.8
245817.1
29335.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4181020601001201401608272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
53Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
82Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.6
30.733.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
red by 6.3
293
#5
35.20.1
28.328.5
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Second
6945
#28
11.62.6
6.69.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 11.2
428
#10
22.80.1
21.121.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Third
9439
#20
8.32.6
5.78.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 8.8
2458
#19
17.10.1
20.420.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned