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Red76
1023213.4
363740.1
219121.1
Blue101
2529.5
599238.6
689718.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687720406010012014076101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
63Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
76Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.8
33.133.8
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 1.5
38.62.0
27.929.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
Second
2191
#32
21.10.8
14.215.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 8.4
25
#12
29.52.0
24.626.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
Third
13.40.8
17.117.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
blue by 5.3
6897
#26
18.72.0
17.919.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed