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Red111
140341.5
219121.1
162624.4
Blue123
363740.1
7547.3
10229.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7411750100150111123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points39
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
18Processor points24
16Net points20
34Algae points44
86Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
111Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.3
33.335.6
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
blue by 5.7
75
#2
47.30.9
42.843.7
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
Second
1626
#30
24.42.3
22.224.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
blue by 15.7
40.10.9
33.834.7
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Third
2191
#32
21.12.3
15.017.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 8.5
102
#9
29.60.9
27.828.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned