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Red105
29335.2
4121.4
599238.6
Blue98
813020.3
436120.1
704525.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886705010015020010598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
74Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
105Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.3
29.931.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 13.2
25.41.7
22.624.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
293
#5
35.21.3
28.529.8
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 14.9
8130
#11
20.31.7
18.620.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
41
#15
21.41.3
18.419.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
red by 1.3
4361
#13
20.11.7
20.822.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed