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Red87
942420.6
10229.6
42822.8
Blue78
549017.0
140341.5
858827.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717640601001201408778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
65Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
87Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#9
29.61.1
28.729.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 12.0
41.50.1
35.635.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
Second
428
#10
22.81.1
18.819.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
blue by 4.3
27.00.1
23.423.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Third
9424
#17
20.61.1
20.221.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 3.6
5490
#16
17.00.1
12.712.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned