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Red17
573213.8
807513.4
694511.6
Blue52
813020.3
257719.4
689718.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3664020801001201752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points6
17Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5732
#27
13.81.5
11.410.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 6.5
8130
#11
20.31.0
21.220.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Second
8075
#29
13.41.5
17.215.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 5.9
2577
#14
19.41.0
17.316.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Third
6945
#28
11.61.5
8.57.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 7.1
6897
#26
18.71.0
18.917.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed