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Red115
140341.5
711021.1
599238.6
Blue85
457319.6
10229.6
436120.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958320406012014016011585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +39
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
86Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
115Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.7
35.737.4
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
red by 12.0
102
#9
29.60.1
29.829.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Second
38.61.7
31.032.7
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 18.5
4361
#13
20.10.1
22.422.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Third
7110
#25
21.11.7
17.819.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 1.5
4573
#18
19.60.1
21.621.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned