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Red84
363740.1
704525.4
601612.5
Blue68
54388.2
2529.5
531013.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8644020601001201401608468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
61Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
84Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.5
35.035.5
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 10.6
25
#12
29.51.0
25.026.0
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
Second
25.40.5
24.425.0
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
red by 12.1
5310
#23
13.31.0
12.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
6016
#24
12.50.5
16.617.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
red by 4.3
5438
#22
8.21.0
9.910.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed