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Red65
4121.4
42822.8
94398.3
Blue60
1023213.4
942420.6
162624.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517602040601001201401606560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
35Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points6
65Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#10
22.80.7
19.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
blue by 1.6
1626
#30
24.40.7
25.224.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Second
41
#15
21.40.7
19.720.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
red by 0.8
9424
#17
20.60.7
21.120.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Third
9439
#20
8.30.7
8.69.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 5.1
13.40.7
17.616.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed